4-4 traffic jam. It’s gonna come down to the final day.
Penn actually plays the night before at Brown.
You never wanna count on tiebreakers going your way.
Ivy Madness odds heading into play 2/14
Highest Leverage on 2/14 (Make Playoffs if W / Make Playoffs If Lose)
Penn 35% (88% if W / 53% if L)
Cornell 27% (93% if W / 66% if L)
Princeton 20% (28% if W / 8% if L)
Columbia 18% (20% if W / 2% if L)
Dartmouth 17% (31% if W / 14% if L)
Yale/Harvard game doesn’t matter for making Ivy Madness but huge 1-seed implications.
1-Seed if Yale Wins: Yale (89%), Harvard (6%)
1-Seed if Harvard Wins: Harvard (60%), Yale (32%)
Four down and seven to go….
Penn is 6-4, is up a game on 5-5 Cornell and owns the head to head tiebreaker. How does Cornell have better odds than Penn?
Somehow my automated data pull must not have had the Penn/Cornell result yet. Should re-run in AM and will be fixed. Obviously you’re correct
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Gotta say i like these odds! sat in new haven might bring us down to earth
Congrats on getting the #1 seed, you matchup with Cornell in Ithaca over 3 hours away from home.
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Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?
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Mitch ain’t on a roll.
Hey, Brown has a .1 shot.
So there’s still a chance….
No!!!
Yale/Harvard officially clinched. Penn looks set for the 3 seed. Cornell/Dartmouth for final spot w/ Columbia and Princeton on life support.
not sure how they’ll finish but dartmouth is far more athletic than years past and that makes them problematic when hit enough shots
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More like “if they can hit enough shots”, rather than “when they hit enough shots”. Their offense went ice cold against us up in Hanover.
The Cornell-Dartmouth finale could end up being for the final slot. If Dartmouth wins, it wins the head to head tiebreaker.
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they won 5 so far “when” and likely win more “if” because they are more athletic than years past.
no idea when or if that actually happens in the future
I do not have the ability to run 5000 simulations.
Am I correct that if, on Friday night, February 27, Penn defeats Dartmouth and Princeton loses to Harvard, then Penn clinches a playoff berth?
Can Penn clinch a playoff berth with a 7th win against any of the remaining 3 opponents (Dartmouth (H), Harvard (H) and Brown (A))?
Cornell plays at Dartmouth on the final day of the season, insuring that one of those two teams will have at least 7 losses.
In the hypothetical even that Princeton wins their last three games (Harvard (H), Dartmouth (H) and Yale (A)), the tiebreaker in a two way tie at 7-7 would go to Princeton over Penn because Princeton would have a better record against the teams at the top of the standings.