5 teams are going to fight it out to get to Providence. The key could be a 5-1 record over Harvard, Dartmouth ( is vastly improved) and Penn. Penn could be looking at 3-11.
I assume Princeton, Yale and Columbia are your 3 ILT “locks,” but I’m not sure about the Lions yet.
Columbia has a very similar team as last season when they went 4-10 in Ivy play after going 9-4 in non-conf. This year’s team is much improved, but enough to make a 5+ win difference?
Come March 2025, I can see 10-4 being good for 1st place and an 8-6 team missing out on tiebreakers.
Right now, Columbia or Cornell. 10-4 should tie and 8-6 will get you in if 2 teams, Yale and Princeton are 10-4. 7-7 would usher in the last tiebreaker.
Brown sneaking in would be chaos. As the host team, they could easily win it all, even as a 7-7 4th seed.